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THE FSB, WAG AND THE ERP

It was good to finally see the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) in Wales finally baring its teeth over WAG’s plans to change the economy in this morning’s Western Mail and suggesting, as this blog has for the last few weeks, that small firms are suffering as a result of this policy.

The response from WAG was predictably one of denial, and reflecting its current strategy that if its spokespersons keep stating that the Economic Renewal Programme (ERP) will be helping small firms in Wales often enough, the rest of us may start to believe it.

However, it is interesting what the WAG spokesperson has noted in the article, namely that "The FSB were consulted extensively during the formation of this policy”.

In other words, the FSB agrees with the ERP and shouldn't now be complaining about its implementation.

Of course, the FSB, like all other organisations across Wales, was consulted over what should be in the Economic Renewal programme. However, as far as I am aware, no further consultation took place regarding the actual contents of the ERP published back in July, which was a closely guarded secret until the launch ‘party’ at Panasonic.

If that isn’t the case, then it would seem that WAG is now essentially stating that the FSB – the main business representative body in Wales – actually supports
  • limiting soft loans to a “picking winners” sectoral approach
  • getting rid of business support for thousands of small firms
  • spending hundreds of millions of pounds of taxpayers’ money on ultra fast broadband that the vast majority of its members neither wants nor needs
Of course, there is one way to clear this up.

To date, small businesses up and down the land have had no opportunity to respond properly to the new published strategy from WAG. Given this, perhaps the best thing to do is for the FSB to put the ERP to the test and fully consult their 10,000 Welsh members on whether the strategy will benefit small firms in Wales.

Then we can find out whether the FSB membership does agree with WAG over the future direction of the Welsh economy or whether they believe that the small firm sector in Wales has been sold up the river by a government that simply does not understand the entrepreneurs of this nation.

Comments

Michael Davies said…
Obviously, if you ask businesses whether they would like some money from the government, few will say 'no' - why would they? A government has to ask a different question - which is what works and what is value for money. There are far too many to subsidise individually(something you habitually overlook), and any system to pick winners will fall prey to lobbying, favouritism, crowding out private finance and distortion of competition at the expense of other businesses. Apart from that, it's a great idea...

The much better option is to find ways to help all businesses by changing the environment for business - especially by doing what only governments can do. High up on that list would be the planning system, red tape & regulation, SME friendly public sector procurement, infrastructure development, strengthening the skills base, labour market flexibility, tax reform - and much else that determines whether it is good and easy to business in Wales.

The Economic Renewal Programme appears to heading in this direction, at least on paper. The real question is whether they can and will actually do much in these areas. I think that is where they need to be pressed and commitments monitored. I notice that in the Western Mail article you cite: Small businesses blast WAG over roads-upgrade funding, that the FSB didn't actually echo your repeated call for for more subsidies - but complained about the funding of infrastructure. The right complaint! FSB seems to want WAG to focus on the right business environment... good for them.

Given your apparently undiminished support for the idea of subsidies to small businesses as an economic strategy, you might be interested in this McKinsey report: "How to compete and grow a sector guide to policy" (see Exec summary pdf). This suggests a sectoral approach to intervention... recognising that the appropriate policy response is sector-specific.

There is very little support for direct subsidy even to 'tilt the playing filed' an approach they reserve for R&D and resource intensive sectors. McKinsey cautions against expecting too much growth from 'new' tech industries - they are just too small. The authors suggest growth will come largely from the service sector (much will be SMEs) - for which they suggest focussing on the the wider business environment ('setting the ground rules and direction', and 'building enablers').

You could criticise ERP for not adopting this sectoral approach strongly enough and for continuing subsidies to industries where there is no case for it...
ANON said…
FSB: About time, I was wondering what I was paying my membership for!

Beware All readers: Is Big Brother watching you reading/posting on this blog?
Anonymous said…
"Obviously, if you ask businesses whether they would like some money from the government, few will say 'no' - why would they?"

Obviously, if you ask businesses whether they would like FASTER BROADBAND from the government, few will say 'no' - why would they?

Don’t give up your day job down in Cardiff Bay.
Disgusted said…
WAG is picking winners through its sector-based approach. To suggest otherwise is untrue. If Michael Davies believed in free market economics, then he should stop making the argument for ANY TYPE of government support. Let’s just give the entire economic development budget back to Welsh firms via tax breaks or as is this is not devolved through cuts in business rates. That would work out at around £2000 in rate cuts for each business in Wales every year. Lovely jubbly and less civil servants in the Assembly.
Anonymous said…
Firstly, I would like to say that the FSB have made their views known about the ERP from the start! We are not at all happy with it and have made this completely clear to WAG. There are some good points, but on the whole it has caused much concern to us.

We consulted widely with our membership on the ERP and have raised countless concerns with WAG. Many of which have been discussed on this blog.

We are now calling on WAG to engage with us on the ERP as the consultation with ourselves has been wholly inadequate. We have made this point very clear to WAG and whoever their spokesperson was stating that "The FSB were consulted extensively during the formation of this policy”, is completely mistaken at best!

Even IF we were consulted, it does not mean that we agree with the ERP.

We were completely in the dark about the outcomes of the ERP and were as shocked as anybody with its contents. As the biggest business organisation in Wales, this is unacceptable and not a consultation process!

I hope the WAG engage with us from now on to try and salvage something from the ERP. We thought that DE&T were doing a good job before the ERP. Yes, a few things could have been done better and we didn’t agree with everything, but now the ERP has thrown the baby out with the bathwater and left a lot of uncertainty.
ANON said…
Michael: I can see from your general overview of your comment that you have never run a business or helped an SME get funding to set up or expand a business.

Yes I think ERP is flawed and if it has credibility then it should have been kept on ice until the Welsh economy got strong again. It's too soon.

There are 132,000 people unemployed now i.e. the issue needs addressing now not 3 years from now.

My consultancy business has turned away 4 projects since 5 July 10 that would have created 110 jobs by Xmas.

If a factory closed today in Wales with the result of the loss of 110 jobs; the press would be all over it.
Disgusted said…
mmm, seems that the FSB disagrees with Michael Davies and WAG about ERP. Join the club, so do the rest of us.
Having examined the McKinsey report a couple of months ago, you seem to be selective about its conclusions. Can I therefore suggest that you read it in detail, rather than quote from the executive summary.

The sectoral approach they suggest is completely different to that suggested by the ERP.

In fact, it suggests different degrees of intervention for different sectors, but recognises that government has a role to play across the whole economy.

As you seem to have time on your hands, read, for example, the case of tourism in Mexico or the R&D sector in Oulu in Finland. Do you think that government didn't, in some way or another, support both industries?

The crude approach of the ERP certainly does not contain the sophisticated approach discussed within the McKinsey report and, worst of all, contains no evidence to support its conclusions, which are going to have a major effect on the Welsh economy.

Is the ERP the best that Wales can come up with for the future of this economy? I certainly don't think so.
Michael Davies said…
Dylan - I agree with you that the sectoral approach in the McKinsey report is quite different to WAG's and more subtle. If I have given the impression I favour WAG's sectoral approach I must apologise, because I don't.

McKinsey's sectoral approach classifies the whole economy, it isn't just choosing quite small subsets for special treatment as WAG has done. But it is clear that in their four tiers of government intervention of increasing intensity, most business, employment and potential growth in Wales is covered by McKinsey's lower intensity "Setting the ground rules" and "Building enablers" categories - the first two levels of intervention. These are the ones I favour most strongly and should be the heart of any programme for economic development - the conditions that affect all businesses. In McKinsey's view, the more interventionist 'Tilting the playing field' is reserved for a limited subset of manufacturing and resource intensive industries, like steel.

I thought the McKinsey analysis was quite a good way of taking a more nuanced approach to the government's role in the economy - but what they advocate is very far from an undifferentiated subsidy regime open to all SMEs.
Anonymous said…
Just to cleat it up, the FSB have supported soft loans rather than grants. This has been their policy for years.
I'm wondering down the line what will happen with regards to this. I'm a bit impartial in the whole argument. Would like to see some solid stats on how the ERP is going to help Wales though.

(I work in a different kind of ERP, the enteroprise resource planning variety, and i think these systems could teach WAG a little lesson or two!)

Jane
I completely agree. Extensive statistics beyond a simple statement would be the first steps into proving how Welsh members from small firms will benefit from ERP.

I would also like to see what happens when businesses are eventually allowed the opportunity to respond to WAG.

Thank you

Charlotte

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