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WELSH OPINION POLL FROM HTV

ITV Wales have just released a new YouGov poll of Welsh voting intentions which doesn't seem to have been picked up at all by the Welsh blogosphere (as I have been out last night and since first thing this morning, I didn't either!).

The main voting intentions are as follows:
  • Conservative 32% (+1)
  • Labour 35% (+1)
  • Liberal Democrats 13% (-1)
  • Plaid Cymru 13%(-1).
As Anthony Wells points out, this shows a bigger swing than for the rest of the UK and could result in the Conservatives winning 12 seats, although there could be varied swings within different parts of Wales.

All to play for with, if we believe Andy Burnham, 16 weeks to go.

Further discussion of the poll on politicalbetting.com.

Comments

Paul Williams said…
For an in depth look of how these poll results predict the Ynys Mon General Election outcome, take a look at: http://druidsrevenge.blogspot.com/2010/01/ill-be-back.html

Its closer than everyone thinks!
January 15, 2010 10:30 pm
Anonymous said…
Though your figure shows Plaid down, they and the Tories are the only parties in Wales actually improving on their 2005 results.
January 18, 2010 4:18 pm
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